A3HATCKASI "IACTb POCCHH:

POCCV1J11CKA5I AKAAEMV151 HAYK CV15V1PCKOE OT.o.EJlEHV1E V1HCTV1TYT 3KOHOMV1KV1 V1 oprahv13ali,v1v1 npomblwnehhoro np0v13boactba J.1HCTVlTYT VlCTOPJ.1J.1 VlHCTJ.1TYT reorpa<t>j.1j.1 HM. B.6.COl.!ABbl VlHCTJ.1TYT CJ.1CTEM 3HEPrETJ.1KJ.1 11M. n.a. MEnEHTbEBA J.1HCTJ.1TYT AJ.1HAMJ.1KJ.1 CJ.1CTEM J.1 TEOPJ.1V1 ynpabnehj.1>1 A3HATCKASI "IACTb POCCHH: MOAEnHPOBAHHE 3KOHOMH...ECKoro PA3BHTHSI B KOHTEKCTE onblta HCTOPHH OTBeTCTBeHHble peaaktopbl YJleH-KOppecnOHAeHT PAH B.A. flamhh, AOKTOP 3KOHOMHyeCKHX HayK B.IO. Manos HOBOOl51-1PCK ~3AATEnbCTBo C~5~PCKoro OTAEnEH~~ POCC~"'CKO'" AKAAEM~~ HAYK 2012

YllK 338+91 :6:6K 65.049(2P5) A35 PeoaKquoHHaR KOAAelUR cepuu: aka.ncmiik B.M. <l>omiih (mabhblli: pcllaktop), aka.ncmhk IO.H. lliokhh, 'mch-koppccnohllcht PAH B.A. JIaMHH, 'IJlCH-KOppccnOHllCHT PAH B.H. OnapHH,.!lOKTOP 6HOJlOrH'ICCKHX HaYK B,B. rjlynob, 1l0KTOP ::lkohomh'icckhx HaYK B.IO. Ma.nOB, 1l0KTOP XIIMH'ICCKHX HaYK B.n. <l>c;xhh, KaHllH;xaT $H3HKo-MaTCMaTH'ICCKHX HaYK H.r. HHKYJlMH (OTBeTCTBcHHhlli: cckpctapb) CCPH5! OCHOBaHa B 2003 r. A35 A3HaTCKJUI..aCTb POCCHH: MOJJ.eJIHpOBaHHe 3KOHOMH'leCKoro pa3bhtwi B KOHTeKCTe OnbITa HCTOPHH I OTB. pejj.. B.A. JIaMnH, B.IO. ManoB; Poco ak3,li. HaYK, en6. otjj.-hme, I1H-T 3KOHOMMKM MopraHM3all.MM rrpom. rrpo M3BOJJ.CTBa (M JJ.p.]. - HOBOcn6npcK: 113JJ.-BO CO PAR, 2012. - (I1HTerpa IJ,MOHHble rrpoektbi CO PAR; BbIll. 34). - 464 c. MOHorpa$MH HBJUIeTCH npo.!lojdkchmcm MCCJlCllOBaHHM H30nn co PAH COBMCCT HO C HH, Hr, H)lCTY H HC3M co PAH no BonpocaM MO.!lCnMpOBaHMH M HCTOPM'ICC KOro OnbITa OCBoeHHH HOBhlX, Ja'laCTYIO 3KCTPCMaJIbHhlX.!lJUI..lKMJHH permohob PoceHM. npouccchi HHTcrpaUMH, OC06CHHO YCMJIMBUmCClI. B nocjlcllhcc BpCMlI., a TaK.lKC aktmb HOCTb pll,lla conpe.!lcjlbhbix crpah B OTHOIllCHHH nphpo.!lhhix 60rarcTB CH6MPH, )lajibhcro BocToKa H.!la.lKC akbatophm apktm'icckhx MOpeM 3aCTaBJ1ll.IOT Hac 60Jlcc BHMMaTCJlhHO OTHCCTHCb K OIT!>lTY MCTOpHH. TaM MhI HaxO.llMM MHOro noxolkhx ::ljlemchtob B3aMMO.lleM CTBHlI. BJlaCTHhlX CTpYKTYP pa3hhlx ctpah KaK MC.lK.llY C060M, TaK C 6M3Hec-coo6mcCTBOM. npm'icm napajincjlh HaCTOJlbKO O'lCBH.llHhI, 'ITO 3aCTaMJlIOT CTaBHTh Bonpoc 0 IIOHCKC HCKOTOPhlX HCTopHKo-rcorpa$H'IeCKHX 3aKOHOMCPHOCTCM OCBOCHHH HOBhlX TCpPMTOpHM. 3KOHOMHKO-MaTeMaTH'ICCKliii HHCTpYMCHTapMH HCCJlC;XOBaHMfI 3THX 3aKOHOMCPHOCTCM II03BOJIJlCT fiojicc CTporo IIO.llOMTH K 060CHOBaHHIO nporh030b pa3bhtiui.llahholi: 'IaCTM POCCHH Ha.!laJICKYIO ncpcncktmby C yqctom onhlta MCTOpHM. MOHorpa$MJI nollrotobjlcha COTpYllHHKaMH HayqHbIX KOJlJICKTMBOB HOBOCMfiHPC Ka, I1pKyrcKa, KpaCH05!pCKa, BJIa.nHBocToKa, MOCKBhI. KHMra npc.!lhajha'lcha.lljifi 3KOHOMMCTOB, rcorpa$ob, ::lhcprcthkob, pa60thhkob a.nmmhmctpaumm pcrmohob M MHHHCTCPCTB, JaHHMaIOIUMXC5! pajpa6otkoli. IIporpaMM pcfhohajihhoro pa3bmtmsl YTBCPlK,llCHO K nc'iath Y'ICHhIM COBCTOM I1HcTMTyra 3KOHOMMKM H OpraHHJaUHM npomhliil1chhofo npoh3bo.llctba CO P AH PCUCH3CHTbl: 'IJI.-KOp. PAH E.B. Ea3apofJ, ll-p reorp. HaYK A.fl. flk06coh, ll-p ::lkoh. HaYK A.C. H080Ce/lOfJ Pa60ma 6blnO/lHeHa (I pamkax MeJICoucqun.qUHapHOlO Ul/melpaquoHHolO npoekma CO PAH M 79 «A3uamcKaR '1aCmb POCCUU: ul/mezpaquohllbie fjjakmopbi pocma U 1I0(lbie e-w6a/lbl/ble 6b1306b1D ISBN 978-5-7692-1243-7 (BbIll. 34) ISBN 978-5-7692-0669-6 KOJlJlCKTMB abtopob, 2012 I1HCTHTyr 3KOHOMHKM H oprahm3aumm ITpoMhlIIL1CHHOro npom3bollctba CO PAH, 2012 HHCTHTyr HCTOPHM CO PAH, 2012 HHCTHTyr rcorpa$mh CO PAH, 2012 HHCrnryT CHCTCM 3HepreTHKH CO PAH, 2012 HHCTHTyr llhhamhkh, CHCTCM II TCOpHII ynpabjiehmsi CO PAH, 2012 O$OPMJlCIU1C. H3;laTeJIhCTBO CO PAH, 2012

ornabnehhe BBEJJ:EHHE (JIaMUIt B.A., MaJlo6 B.lO.).... 5 INTRODUCTION........................................... 15 qactb 1 CEBEPO-BOCTOqHbIR BEKTOP HHBECTHUHR B BY,nYIUEE: MOBUJIH3AUHOHHbm IIY'I'b PYCCKOrO rocy.l.(apctba fnaba 1. HCTOPHqECKHH OllLIT llpo,ubidkehhji POCCHH HA CEBEPO BOCTOK EBPOA311ATCKOfO KOHTHHEHTA (TUMolUeHlw A.H.).... 25 1.1. POJlb He3KOHOMH'leCKHX <paktopob B COl.{HaJIbHO-3KOHOMH'leCKm,f pajbh THH POCCHH.......... 1.2. OTBeT reopethkam <l<c",athh" H3 HCTOpH'leCKOrO npoiwioro........ 1.3. Oco6eHHocTH pajpa60tkh H peajihjal.{hh HaH60Jlee KpynHhIx X03HHCTBeH HhIX npoektob................................. 1.4..Mo6HJ1H3al.{HoHHaH 3KOHOMHKa.. KaK HMnepaTHB nph BbI60pe nyreh OCBoeHHH A3HaTCKOH POCCHH... fjlaba 2. CllEQHCllHKA 3ACEJIEHHH CH.sHPH H OCHOBHblE MHrPAQHOH HLIE llotokh......................................... 65 2.1. Or BoeHHJHpOBaHHhIx liocejlehhh no CChIJlbHOKaToplKHhIX (mwl06 ckuii M.B.).... 2.2. nepexon B CTMHlO «o6lkhbahhl!" TeppHToplUI (muji06ckuii M.B.).... 74 2.3. nepecejleh'leckah 1l0JlHTHKa Ha'laJIa XX B.: Cnel.{H<pHKa POCCHHCKOH neh- CTBHTeiIbHOCTH (EljJUMKUH M.M., JIaMUH B.A.)... :............... 83 2.4. cdopmhpobahhe HHnYCTpHaJIbHOH KaTerOpHH HaCeJleHHH (EljJUMKUIt M.M.) 87 2.5. nobopot Ha 180 rpanycob: KYPCOM Ha 3anM (EtjJUMKUIt M.M.)..... 96 fnaba 3. CEBEP H APKTHKA HA BOJIHAX rocy,uapctbehhoh PErHOHAJIL HOH llojihthkh: OllblT HCTOPWIECKlIX AHAJIOrHH (AlleKCee6 C.E., JIaMUH B.A.).............................................. 102 3.1. HenooueHeHHoe XOJlOl1HOe npoctpahctbo.... 3.2. 3alllHTa amephkahckhm «HarypaJIbHblM BJlMhI'leCTBOM»...... 106 3.3. TpaeKTOpHH BhICO'laHlllHX <l<coo6paxehhh".................. 112 3.4. PyCCKaH o6mectbehhoctb «3a» MHCKY, amephkahckah - «npothb».. 115 3.5. qepej He60 ApKTHKH............................... 118 fjlaba 4...C,UBHr HA BOCTOK. KAK llpoqecc..kohthhehtajlh3alj,hh. POCCHH B KOHTEKCTE EE HAlJ,HOHAJILHO-rOCY,UAPCTBEHHLIX HHTEPECOB (Ee3PYKo(J JI.A.)............................. 122 4.1. TpaHcnopTHo-reorpa<pH'lecKaH KOHTHHeHTaJIbHOCTb POCCHH........ 123 4.2. I1JMeHeHHe crerrehh KOHTHHeHTaJIbHOCTH POCCHH B XX B......... 126 4.3. nmocbi H MlmYCbI «KOHTHHeHTaJIIUal.{HH» POCCHH B HCTOpH'IeCKOH l1hha MHKe......... 132 34 40 56

fnaba 5. BJIH.HHHE BHYfPHKOHTHHElITA.JlbHOfO MAKPOITOJIOJKEHH.H CHBHPH HA 3tJ><DEKTHBHOCTb EE 3KOHOMHKH (Be3PYK06 H.A.). 136 5.1. OueHKa CTeneHH TpaHcnopTHo-reorpaq,W-IeCKOH KOHTHHeHTaJIbHOCTH CH6HPH.... 5.2. BnHRHHe MaKpOnO,lOJKeHHlI CH6HPH Ha 3q,q,eKTHBHOCTb otpacneh ee xo 3111kTBa.... 138 5.3. Mephl no YMeHbIlIeHHlO TpaHcnopTHbIX H311epJKeK.... 144. fnasa 6. TPAHCITOPTHO-fEOfPA<I>HlJECKOE ITOJIOJKEHHE (ITIT) A,lJ;MHHH CTPATHBHbIX PAHOHOB CHBHPH: CTOHMOCTILUI OlJ,EHKA (Ee3 pyk06 H.A., j(oumuao6 a.e.).... 141 6.1. Oc06eHHocrn TpaHCnOpTHOH CHCTeMhl CH6HPH B CBH3H C ee MaKponono- JlCeHHeM.... 6.2. MeTOllHKa CTOl{MOCTHOH ouehkh TfIT.... 149 6.3. COBpeMeHHoe H npomo3hoe Tfn allmlulhctpathbhhlx pahohob CH6HPH 152 fnaba 1. PEA.JlHH COlJ,HAJIbHOR ITOJIHTHKH B YCJIOBH.HX ITPHPO)lHO KJlHMATHqECKOH )lhckom<i>opthocth BOCTOqHOR CHBHPH (EOUiaJIXOH06 H.A., EOUiaJIXOH060 H.E., BeceJlo6o B.B., KopblmHblu H.M.).. 151 1.1. OueHKa llhckom<popthocrn KJIHMara H COUHaJIbHhle rapahthh roc}'jlapctba 1.2. AAaJIH3 liemorpaq,h'ieckhx npoueccob B ycnobhhx KJIHMarnqeCKoro H co- UHaJIbHOro llhckomq,opta (Ha nphmepe pecny6nhk Caxa (HKYTHlI) H BypRTHH)... 163 1.3. Oco6eHHocTH lihhamhkh llemorpaq,w-ieckhx npoueccob.......... 166 fnaba 8. C)lBHf ITPOH3BO)lHTEJIbHbIX CM HA BOCTOK: OlJ,EHKA OITbITA HCTOPHH R Bb160P ITYI'H,llJI.H XXI B. (Erj;lIMKUH M.M., MOJIol1 B./O., TlIMOUieUKO A. H.).......................................... 171 8.1. nollxoli K KBaHTHq,HKaUHH onhlta HCTOPHH.... 8.2. BepHq,HKaUM petpomollejih 3KOHOMH'leCKOrO pa3bhthli POCCHH/CCCP/ POCCHH 3a nepholi 1889-2009 IT.......... 173 8.3. Pe3ynbTaThl KOHTpq,aKTH'IeCKOrO MOllenHpOBaHlHl:a 6hlJI nh HYJKeH TpaHccH6? (Erj;lIMKUH M.M., MOJIo6 B./O., TlIMOUieHICO A.H.)............ 178 qactb 2 OUEHKA I1EPCI1EKTHB PA3BHTH.SI A3HATCKOA. POCCHH B COCTABE MHHOrO 3KOHOMHlIECKOrO TIPOCTPAHCTBA fnaba 9. CEBEPO-BOCTOqHbIH BEKTOP 3KOHOMHqECKOfO PA3BHTH.H POCCRH... 185 9.1. HOBoe - xopomo 3a6hlTOe CTapoe (MOJIo(J B./O.).............. 9.2. HYJKHbI nh POCCHH «lloporne.. pecypchl ee a3hatckoh qacth (MMo(J B./O., XopumoHo6o B.H.)....................................... 192 fnaba 10. OlJ,EHKA WIH.HHH.H TPAHCITOPTHOfO <I>AKTOPA HA OCBOEHHE MHHEPAJIbHO-CbIPbEBblX PECYPCOB APKTHlJECKOR 30HM A3HAT CKoR POCCHH.......................................... 203 10.1. «TpaHcnopTHo-pecYPcHall» cneuhq,hka OCBoeHHR (TOpOC060 O.B.).. 10.2. OueHKa nepcnekthb OCBoeHHll pecypcob ApKTHqeCKoll. 30Hhl A3lfaTCKOH POCCHH (EouiJopeHlCo H.A., Topoco(Jo O.B.)..................... 208

[JiaBa 11. B03MOJKHOCTH Cl>OPMHPOBAHHH AKBATEPPHTOPHAlIbHOnpOH3BO)1;CTBEHHblX KOMnJIEKCOB (ATnK) B 30HE BJIlIJIHHH CEBEPHOrO MOPCKOrO nyth (EQHiJapeHl(o JIA., HOHo6a B'/L Ma M6 B.IO., Tapaco6a O.B.)..... 219 1l.1. llepcnektlibbl lopmlipobahlill ApKTH'IeCKliX ATnK... 11.2. KOHTYPbI 6YIlYUlliX ApKTH'IeCKHX ATIlK................. 223 [JiaBa 12. HADPABJIEHlIJI )1;OJIrOCPOqHOrO PA3BHTHH TEPPHTOPHAlIb HbIX CTPYKTYP X03HUCTBA THXOOKEAHCKOU POCCHH (n.h. Eal( AaH06, M. T. POMaHo6)....................................... 243 12.1. Oc06eHHOCTH TeppHTOpHaJIbHbIX li akbatepplitophajibhbix CTPyKTYP X0311HCTBa THXOOKeaHCKOH POCCHH........... 12.2. Cl>aKTOpbI H orpahh'iehhli pa3bhthli.... 12.3. OCHoBHbIe 'TeH,lleHUHH 1I nphophte'tb1 pa3bhthfi THXOOKeaHCKOH POCCHH [JlaBa 13. PEAJ]H3Al1.HH CTPATEmQECKHX TPAHCnOPTHO-JIOrHCTHQE CKHX npoektob BOCTOQHOU CHBHPH HA YCJlOBHHX focy)1;ap CTBEHHO-~CTHOfO DAPTHEPCTBA (BapHa6cl(uu B.r.)......... 280 13.1. MecTo H pojlb TpaHCnOpTHO-JlOrliC'TH'IeCKHX uehtpob B 3KOHOMH'Ie- CKOM pa3bhthh perliohob.............. 13.2. [lin - QJHHaHcoBo-3KOHOMH'IeCKHH MexaHH3M C03,!laHHfI TJIU... 13.3. PeaJIbHOe H KBa3H-fl{1l..... 13.4. Cl>HHaHCOBbIH H 3KOHOMH'IeCKHH KPH3HC: BJlHflHlIe Ha npoektbi [qll 13.5. IlpemlTCTBHfI Ha nytli fl{ti B pa3bhthh npoh3bo.llhtejlbhbix ClIJI Boc- TO'lHOH CH6HPH...... 248 271 283 285 287 295 13.6. TpaHcnopTHo-npOMbIlllJIeHHbIe KOHCOPUHYMbl nph C031laHHH MTJIU 13.7. POJlb TeJleKoMMYHHKaUHoHHoro cektopa.... 297 [JiaBa 14. POJIb 3HEPfETHKH B OCBOEHHH H PA3BHTHH A3HATCKOU ~C- TH POCCHH...... 299 14.1. Pa3J1H'IHbIe HanpaBJleHHfI 3HepreTH'IeCKOH nojlhthkli POCCliH B a3hat CKOH 'IaCTH B lictopll'leckom acnekte: BHYTpeHHHe H BHeWHHe laktophi BJlHlIHHfI (AzarjJoHo8 I.B., KopHee6 A.I., CaHee8 E.I.)..... 14.2. COBpeMeHHoe COCTOflHHe, np06j1embi H npliophtethbie HanpaBJIeHHfI pa3blithfi 3KOHOMHKlI 1I 3HepreTHKH a3hatckoh 'IaCTH POCCHH (KopHee6 A.I., MY3bl'lYI( C.IO., CaHee6 E.r.).... 304 14.3. BHYTpeHHHe H BHeWHHe YCJlOBlill pa3blithfi T3K a3hatckoh 'IaCTH POCCHli (KopHee8 AI, liono6 C.lI., COI(OA06 A.p., COI(OA08 pa.)... 311 [JiaBa 15. MACWTAlibl H nponopilhh CTPATEfHQECKOfO PA3BHTlIJI 3HEPfETHKH B BOCTOqHblX PEfHOHAX POCCHH H npe)1;no CblJIKH 3KCnOPTA 3HEPfOPECYPCOB B CTPAHbl ATP.... 315 15.1. CTpYK1'YPHbIe H3MeHeHHfI nepcnekthbhbix TOTIJlHBHO-3HepreTH'IeCKHX 6aJIaHCOB BOCTO'IHblX pernohob POCCHH (MY3bl'lYI( P.H., MY3bl'lYI( C.IO., COKOA08 A.)1.).... 15.2. Ilp06J1eMbl H nepcnekthbbi p a3bhthli HeQJTera30Boro KOMTIJIeKCa Ha BOCTOKe POCCHH (Mauc/o1( E.n., naamoh06 JI.A.)............ 319 15.3. Pa3BliTHe yrojlbhoh npomhiwjlehhocth: nyth nobhlwehhfi BocTpe6o BaHHOCTH yrojlbhoh np0.llykulih (COI(OM6 A.p., TaKauUl6UAu JI.H.). 322 15.4. Pa3BHTHe 3J1eKTp03HeprenIKlI: KpynHbIe npoektbi H B03Mo)l.<HOCTH 3KcnopTa (JIazepe6 A.B., XaHae6a B.H.).... 324

15.5. Ponb MaJIOil:,1HeprenUrn B COUHaJIbHO-3KOHOMH'leCKOM Pa3BHTHH ce SepHbIx TeppHTOpHH a3hatckoil: 'lacnl: POCCHH H C03,llaHHH 6narorrpH HTHbIX ycnoshh npmlrnbahhl!. KOpeHHbIX Hapo,llOB (H6aHo6a H.IO., HJ/C 6YIIOUH A. K., TyzY:W6a T. (p.)............................... 15.6. B03MOXHbIH COUHaJIbHO-3KOHOMH'leCKHH BKJIa,ll 3HepreTHKH B pa3bh THe pecypchbix TeppHTOpHH Ha BOCTOKe POCCHH (KopHee6 A.r., 1(anax A.C.)...'............... 15.7. 3KOJIOrn'leCKHe npo6nembi pa3bhthh T3K BOCTO'lHbIX perhohob H ny- TH HX npeo,llonemljl (Mauc/oK E.1I.)......................... 327 334 340 f,laba 16. KJIlOlIEBhIE HHCTPYMEHThI focy,llapctbehhoh PEfHOHAJIh HOH 3KOHOMHlIECKOH llojihthkh B B YCJlOBHHX AKTHBH3A IIHH HHTEfPAUHOHHhIX llpoiieccob........ ~... 343 16.1. TepPHTOpHaJIbHO-npOH3BO,llCTBeHHbIe KOMIIJleKCbI (AzaqJOH08 r.b., Kop Hee6 A.F., CaHee6 S.F.).... 16.2. MexaHH3MbI, HanpaB.JIeHHble Ha akthbh3auhio HHBecTHUHoHHOH,!lel!.- TeJIbHOCTH (KopHee6 A.r.)... 346 16.3. Me)l(,!lYHap0,llHoe ToproBO-3KOHOMH'leCKOe COTPY,llHH'leCTBO H 3Hepre TW!eCKal!. Jl.HIIJlOMaTHSI (KopHee6 A.F., KopHee6 K.A., CaHee6 S.r.)... 352 fnaba 17. CETEBhIE MO.llEJIH CTPATErHlIECKOfO IJJIAHHPOBAHHH MEJK OTPACJlEBhIX MEfAllPOEKTOB OCBOEHHH HE<IITEfA30BhlX PEfHOHOB............................................ 356 17.1. 3KOHOMH'leCKal!. noctahobka 3a.!la'lH KOOPJl.HHauHH nphhl!.thsi peluehhh yqacthhkamh MeJKOTpaCJleBoro MerarrpeKTa (lilijlckuha R.H., Xapumo- HOBa B.H.).... 17.2. CeTeBal!. MOJl.enb MeranpOeKTa BCHfK (FUMaou 3.X., FOHlfapo6 E.R., 1IIIJlcKuHa R.H., XapumoHOBa B.H.)... 361 17.3. MaTeMaTH'leCKaSl noctahobka H ajirophtmbi OnTHMH3aUHH,nHcKpeTHoH HOH MHorOHOMeHKJIaTYPHOH,!lHHaMH'leCKOH 3a,lla'lH ceteboro IlJIaHHpO- BaHHSI (FuMaou 3.x, FOHlfap06 E.H., 1IlIJlc/cuHa R.H., XapumoHo6a B.R.) 363 17.4. nporh03hble ouehkh peajih3auhh MeranpoeKTa BCHfK (llvlc/cuha R.n., XapumOH06a B.R.)...................................... 370 fnasa 18. CIIEHAPHhlH AHAJIH3 3KOJIOfO-3KOHOMH'IECKOfO PA3BHTHH A3HATCKOH POCCHH......... 375 18.1. THnosaSl Me,!lHKO-3KonorO-3KOHOMH'leCKaH Mo,nenb pernoha (Samy- PUH B.A., Ma.n06 B.IO., Me.1eHmbe6 S.B., Cmoll6OB A.E.).......... 377 18.2. MaTeMaTH'leCKOe MO,!leJIHpOBaHHe 3KonorO-3KOHOMH'leCKHX rrpoueccos CCCP/POCCHH (SamypuH B.A., Ma.n06 B.IO., MelleHmbe6 S.B., Cmoll 606 A.S.)............................................. 381 18.3. noctpoehhe Me,!lHKO-3KOJIOrO-3KOHOMH'leCKHX MO,!leneil: H cuehaphbiil: ahajih3 pa3bhthsi cy6'bektob a3hatckoa. 'lacth POCCHH (SamypuH B.A., Ma.n06 B.IO., MelleHmbe6 B.B., Cmoll606 A.S.)... 385 18.4. I1HTeJIJIeKTYaJIbHbIA. nporpammhbih KOMIIJlCKC,!lJl1l no.!l.!lepjkkh pac'le- TOB no Me,llHKO-3Konoro-3KOHOMH'leCKOH MO,llenH (CmOll606 A.S.).. 391 fnaba 19. HHTEfPAIIHOHHhlE <IIAKTOPhl POCTA A3HATCKOH POCCHH.. 395 19.1. PaclUHpeHHc Tpa.nMUHOHHbIX MeTO,llHK noctpoehhh nporh030b permo HaJIbHOro pa3bhthl!. C yqctom BJIHSlHHSI BHCUlHeH TOproBJIH H peajih3a UHH OTpacneBbIX npoektob ()f(oaho6a T.n., MelleHmbe6 B.B.)....

19.2. l1pkytckah 06naCTb KaK o6l>ekt nepboo'iepe)lhoro HHTepeca BHeWHe- TOproBblX napthepob B CellO (Me.neHmbe8 E.B., Tapa/caH08 M.A.)... 403 fnaba 20. npofh03bpobahhe $OPMBPOBAHB.R onophor: TPAHCnO.Pf- HOH CETB: HHCTPYMEHTAPHR: BAPHAHTHbIX PACqETOB H MO.lI.EJIbHO-TIPOfPAMMHbIH KOMTIJIEKC.................. 415 20.1. OCHoBHble 3a)la'!H H MeTO,!1bl HCCJIe,nOBaHHR TpaHcnopTHoro npoctpah- CTBa (Bopoobe8a B.B., Matl08 B./O.).... 20.2. OmHMH3aUHoHHall Mo,neJIb nporho3hpobahhr IjlOPMHPOBaHHlI H pa3 BHTHR onophoh TpaHcnopTHoH cern POCCHH (Bopo6be8a B.B., Ma 1108 B./O.)............................................ 20.3. CxeMa peajihlauhh HHcTp}'MeHTapHR BapHaHTHblX pac'!etob (EY1lboH 1(;08 M.A., Bop06be8a B.B., Matl08 B./O., MapycuH B.B.)........... 418 424 3AKJIIOqEHHE (Matl08 B./O.)....................................... 429 CTIHCOK JIHTEPATYPbI................................. 432 TIPHJIOJKEHHE. $OPMaJIH30BaHHoe npe,nctabjiehhe 3KOHOMHKO-MaTeMaTH'!eCKOH Mo,neJIH onthmh3auhh ljlopmhpobahhli onophoh TpaHcnOpTHOH cern (Bopo 6be8a B.B., Matl08 B./O.) "................................... 447 CBQEHH.R OS ABTOPAX................................. 452