1 Use of Telecommunication Services in the Households Research summary for the National Media and Infocommunications Authority (Hungarian abbreviation: NMHH)
SURVEY METHODOLOGY 2 Service provider: Ariosz Ltd. Timing of the fieldwork: 6th November 30th November Method: Face-to-face interviews with standardised questionnaire Sample size: 2000 Average length of interviews: 52 minutes Weighting: in case of households: by size and age distribution of the household, type of settlement, region, and area of incumbent telecommunication service provider. in case of individuals: by age, gender, level of education, size of the household, type of settlement, region, and area of incumbent telecommunication service provider. Weighting method: RIM weighting (multidimensional iterated cell weighting) Signs on the slides: data referring to households data referring to individuals Currency on the slides: 1 EUR = 284.18 HUF (ECB, 30th November )
2002 2003 2005 2006 2007 2008 2002 2003 2005 2006 2007 2008 2002 2003 2005 2006 2007 2008 2002 2003 2005 2006 2007 2008 NUMBER AND PROPORTION OF HOUSEHOLDS WITH TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES 3 Size of the fixed telephone market is constantly decreasing while the Internet market is increasing. 10 8 86% 81% 4 52% 5 Basis: all households fixed phone mobile phone pay TV Internet* *fixed-line+mobile (on PC) Number of households, million 2002 2003 2005 2006 2007 2008 fixed phone 2,80 2,64 2,55 2,66 2,33 2,24 2,10 2,08 mobile phone 2,42 2,69 2,86 3,15 3,17 3,17 3,33 3,44 pay TV 2,63 2,82 2,94 3,11 3,23 Internet 0,27 0,43 0,59 0,93 1,33 1,49 1,86 2,00
2002 2003 2004 2006 2007 2008 2002 2003 2004 2006 2007 2008 2002 2003 2004 2006 2007 2008 2002 2003 2004 2006 2007 2008 AVERAGE MONTHLY SPENDING OF HOUSEHOLDS ON TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES Household spending on fixed and mobile telephony has decreased significantly compared to the previous years. Gross spending on Internet and pay TV stagnate. Please, be aware that these data contain all changes in VAT of the last years. 4 12000 10000 8000 8143 6000 4000 3524 3499 4808 2000 0 fixed phone mobile phone pay TV Internet* Basis: households having the given service *fixed-line+mobile (on PC) Size of the market in is 540 billion HUF (net; : 558 billion HUF)
DEMAND FOR TELECOMMUNICATION SERVICES 5 As it was the case also in the past years, mobile phone is the most indispensable service for the population. mobile phone 58% 19% 9% 14% pay TV 48% 26% 8% 17% fixed-line Internet 27% 16% 9% 46% fixed phone 21% 17% 12% 49% mobile Internet 4% 4% 6% 85% 25% 5 75% 10 Basis: all households and persons aged 14+, respectively indispensable would be hard but survive without it mostly could live without it all in all it is unnecessary DK/NA
2 PLAY / 3 PLAY 6 More than 7 of households using more services subscribe for more services at one service provider. 9 of these households use bundled services. Internet is the main factor of bundling these proportions are 33 and 8 in households without Internet. Use of bundled services by the combination of subscribed services 10 8 2498 22% 41% 74 614 771 1040 27% 53% 54% 6% 69% 4 9% 28% Total 15% 32% landline phone+internet Basis: households using more fixed-line services 9% 22% TV+Intrenet 66% landline phone+tv 3 services bundled 2 services bundled the same service provider but not bundled only different service providers 33% 9% 4% landline phone+internet+tv
350 300 250 Billion HUF 231 SIZE OF THE MARKET OF TELECOMMUNICATION SRVICES, 2002- Fixed and mobile telephony markets have been constantly decreasing, while the market of pay TV has stagnated and the Internet market has increased. 266 268 314 293 292 MOBILE PHONE 277 269 7 200 150 100 50 0 160 157 133 142 FIXED PHONE 98 114 108 108 108 PAY TV 106 95 92 45 88 85 29 80 82 70 16 60 INTERNET 2002 2003 2005 2006 2007 2008 Basis: all households
2002 2003 2005 2006 2007 2008 FIXED PHONE: ACCESSIBILITY 8 Only a bit more than half of the households have fixed phone. There is a strong increase in the proportion of cable phone while PSTN decreased to 71%. Households with access to fixed phone Technology of fixed phone access 10 8 73% 68%66%66% 10 8 3% 4% 15% 25% 58% 56% 52%52% 4 4 82% 71% Basis: all households PSTN CaTel VoIP Basis: fixed phone subscriptions
SPENDING ON FIXED TELEPHONY 9 The main reason is the advantegous price of cable phone to PSTN behind widespreading fast as CaTel is provided almost always in bundling. The average level of VoIP spending is somewhere between these two. Access to fixed phone by service providers Spending by technology (gross sums, HUF/month) 14% Total 0 1 000 2 000 3 000 4 000 5 000 3524 11% PSTN 4030 14% 61% CaTel 2107 VoIP 3519 Bázis: fixed phone subscriptions T-Home UPC Invitel other Size of the fixed telephony market: 70 billion HUF (net, =85 billion HUF)
VOICE MARKET: HYPOTHETICAL MONOPOLIST TEST 10 1 of subscribers would unsubscribe their fixed phone service in case of a 1 increase in monthly costs. The chief substitutive tool (91%) would be mobile phone. Only 12% would substitute fixed phone with VoIN. What would you do if the monthly cost of your fixed phone subscription increased by 1? How would you substitute the fixed phone? 4 8 10 54% mobile phone 91% 1 7% VoIN 12% 29% no need for substitution 1 I would search for a cheaper offer or service provider I would pay the higher price I would unsubscribe the service DK/NA Basis: households with subscription for fixed phone other 4% n=171 Basis: those households which would unsubscribe the service in case of the higher price
MOBILE PHONE: ACCESSIBILITY 11 86% of households have mobile phones. (It was 83% in ). There are more households with more SIM cards compared to last year. There are 7.7 million SIM cards* in the households: 43% are post-pay and 57% are pre-pay cards. (The proportion of pre-paids was 61% in ). *Only those SIM cards are taken into consideration in the survey which are actively used. Thus, inactive and cards for industrial usage are not counted. Households by the number of SIM cards Proportion of pre-pay and postpay subscriptions 4 8 10 10 17% 27% 28% 27% 8 61% 57% 4 14% 27% 3 29% 39% 43% no any one two three or more post-pay pre-pay Basis: all households Basis: mobile phone subscriptions
SMARTPHONE Nearly 400 thousand people (6% of mobile users) use smartphones. One third of these devices have iphone OS and 22% run Android operating system. (One out of seven smartphone users has no information about his/her operating system.) Three quarters of smartphones have touch screen. 12 Basis: individuals using mobile phones Is the mobile phone you use a smartphone? 10 8 13% 1% 4% 33% 3% 3% 14% 16% 33% 16% 9% 7% DK/NA other Blackberry / RIM iphone OS (Apple) 6% 94% 10 8 yes, it is no touch screen 4 22% 3% Android (Google) 76% 12% 15% Usage in Hungary, Q4 31% Global purchases, Q4 * 44% Global purchases, Q4 * *Source: Canalys estimates Canalys 2011 Windows Mobile Symbian (Nokia) 4 Qwerty 24% Basis: individuals having a smartphone
ADDITIONAL FEATURES FOR MOBILES Bluetooth is the most widespread data transferring function. Games and MMSs are the most popular additional features on mobile phones. Paying by mobile phone has incresed since, but it still has opportunities to grow. Smartphone users are much more likely to use additional features than others. 13 Bluetooth data transfer on broadband infraport GPS Having and using data transferring functions on mobile phones 1 3 4 5 4% 3% 9% 11% 25% 26% 25% 47% games sending MMSs e-mailing mobile payment downloading pictures, ring tones browsing websites WAP Use of additional features 1 3 4 15% 14% 3% 7% 1 3% 21% 4% 3 27% 24% 23% 22% having using Basis: individuals using mobile phones traditional mobile phone smartphone
2006 2007 2008 2006 2007 2008 2006 2007 2008 2006 2007 2008 RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN FIXED AND MOBILE PHONES A permanent tendency can be noted on the voice market: the proportion of households having fixed phone only is constantly decreasing. In line with this, the use of mobile phones increased. However, the decrease of the number of households using both stopped and the reason may be that it is used in bundle with other services. 14 Households with fixed and mobile phones 5 4 3 1 43% 43% 9% 5% having both only mobile phone only fixed phone neither Basis: all households
DIGITAL MATURITY Internet widespreads faster in the households than PCs. As the two proportion become closer to each other, it can be noticed that many offline households with PC subscribe for Internet and in contrast to the previous years, many households buy PC and Internet together. The new trend is that having a PC is not a precondition for the Internet. 15 Households with Internet and PC 5 4 36% 41% 46% 48% 51% 46% 54% 5 3 39% 3 25% 33% 23% 1 15% 11% 7% 2002 2003 2005 2006 2007 2008 Internet PC Basis: all households
COMPUTERS AT HOME 16 More than half of the households have a PC and the vast majority (2 million) have Internet subscription as well. The proportion of laptops increased from 27 to 34 percent in one year. is the first year when households plan to buy more laptops than desktops. PCs in the households Households with laptop Purchasing plans 10 2159 316 thousand PCs 10 10 8 46% 8 34% 8 4 11% 7% 4 66% 4 57% 35% 43% desktop only having both laptop only have no PC have a laptop desktop only desktop laptop Basis: all households Basis: households having a PC Basis: households planning to buy a PC 8% of households plan to buy a PC in the coming year.
CHARACTERISTICS OF THE USE OF MOBILE INTERNET 17 The frequency of using mobile Internet on desktop or laptop was about the same in. Now, mobile Internet is mostly used on laptops (it is rather complementary usage on desktops). As a result, mobile Internet relates rather to persons than to households. Computers used with mobile Internet Fix-mobile substitution 15% 10 8 199 119 319 3% 1% 3 thousand households 10 79% DK/NA 4 69% supplementary usage 65% on desktop on laptop have only mobile Internet 18% have both mobile and fixed-line Internet Total use mostly the mobile Internet on both Basis: households with mobile Internet
SATISFACTION WITH MOBILE INTERNET 18 In general, clients became more satisfied with the mobile Internet compared to. Compared to last year, they are more satisfied with the entrance fee, the speed, and the management of technical problems, while less satisfied with monthly costs, the variety of packages available, and the continuity of the service. Satisfaction with the mobile Internet (proportion of top2box on a 5-point scale) 0 25 50 75 100 entrance fee speed managing technical problems, communication with clients degree of the limit of data trafficking possible combination of services continuity of the Internet service monthly costs variety of packages available satisfaction in general 43 50 57 57 55 52 55 50 50 44 56 55 65 65 63 61 67 79 Fixed-line Internet: 78% Basis: households having mobile Internet Significantly more users are satisfied with the speed of fixed-line Internet.
MIGRATION ON THE MARKET OF FIXED-LINE INTERNET 19 It can be forecasted that cable technology will become more dominant compared to DSL. Internet penetration will be increased by 4 percentage points in case of fixed-line and 2 pecentage points in case of mobile Internet accesses. 33 12 72 9 20 17 9 DSL 660 3 Cable 1050 7 2 3 2 14 46 Mobile Internet 319 other 92 8 4 Basis: present and future (planned) fixed-line and mobile Internet subscriptions
PLANS OF NEW ENTRANTS 201 thousand households do not have Internet access but plan to subscribe. One third of new entrants plan to buy cable Internet, but one quarter do not know yet which technology to choose. 20 Plans about new Internet technology 27% 16% 4% 23% 36% DSL cable MBB other DK/NA Basis: those who do not have Internet but plan to subscribe
INTERNET MARKET: HYPOTHETICAL MONOPOLIST TEST 4 of subscribers would be sensitive for a 1 increase in the monthly cost, but the majority would change the service provider or the package only. Less than 1% would give up the Internet access. 21 What would you do if the monthly cost of your fixed-line Internet subscription increased by 1? 18% 6% 1% 1% 14% I would pay the higher price I would search for a smaller package I would change my service provider I would change to mobile Internet I would give up the Internet subscription DK/NA n=171 Basis: households having fixed-line Internet subscription
PAY TV: ACCESSIBILITY 22 Four fifths of households have pay TV service. It is an increase by 2 percentage points compared to. The most widespread technology is cable TV. Households with pay TV 10 8 Technology of pay TV 3234 thousand households 1% 4% 25% 17% 8 4 7 3% Basis: all households do not have TV at all do not have pay TV pay TV (pay) encoded terrestrial IPTV (pay) satellite cable Basis: households having pay TV
DIGITALISATION 23 The proportion of digital subscriptions increased from 34 to 43% in one year. Among cable TV users it increased from 11 to 18%. 28% of households with digital subscription use more set-top-boxes. Proportion of subscriptions for digital TV Number of set-top-boxes used in the households 13% 415 10 19% 8 815 130 171 1378 3 48% 13% 28% thousand hoseholds 57% 1% 4% 25% 4 81% 7 52% 87% 72% analogue cable digital cable (digital) satellite (digital) IPTV (digital) terrestrial cable satellite IPTV terrestrial Total only one more Basis: households with pay TV Basis: households with subscription for digital TV
FREE DIGITAL TERRESTRIAL BROADCAST Only 59% of primarily affected households* know that the switch-off of analogue broadcast will affect them. 61% of adults heard about the launch of digital terrestrial broadcast, but this proportion is only 49,5% among those who are affected. Will you be affected by the ceasing of traditional, analogue terrestrial TV broadcast? What would you do in case of the ceasing of analogue terestrial TV broadcast? 24 10 8 4 3354 648 4001 345 385 730 11% 79% 1 primarily not affected Basis: all households 25% 15% 59% primarily affected 13% 68% 18% Total yes, we will no DK/NA 10 8 4 3% 19% 18% 11% 19% 7% 19% 1 14% 39% 38% 39% primarily affected purchase a decoder change to pay TV service other Basis: those who feel to be affected *Primarily affected households: households without pay TV and do not view digital terrestrial broadcasts primarily not affected Total purchase an appropriate TV will not watch TV DK/NA
MIGRATION ON THE MARKET OF PAY TV 25 According to the plans of the households, a moderate increase (7-14 thousand subscriptions) can be forecasted. Our technical estimation predicts that the increase of satellite and IPTV subscriptions will be even more significant. 29 4 17 7 37 19 Cable 2 266 18 Satellite 815 6 5 6 2 IPTV 130 22 Encoded terrestrial 8 Basis: households having or planning to have subscription for pay TV
PAY TV MARKET: HYPOTHETICAL MONOPOLIST TEST 26 Two thirds of subscribers would keep their present subscriptions in case of a 1 increase of the monthly costs. There are hardly any people (2%) who would give up watching TV. One out of four would search for another soultion: 72% of them would go to another service provider and 16% would watch free-to-air broadcasts. What would you do if the cost of your TV subscription increased by 1? How would you watch TV? 4 8 10 68% I would change my service provider 72% 25% I would change technology 35% 2% 5% I would pay the higher price I would watch TV in another way I would not watch TV DK/NA I would change service package I would watch free-to-air broadcast 16% 32% Basis: households with TV subscription Basis: households that would unsubscribe the service in case of the higher price